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Azerbaijan - Birinci Dasta
Regular Season - 27
Friday, May 22, 2026
11:30
Zaqatala
PPG 1.08
2-1
MISS
Safa
PPG 2.25
Draw· -1.9%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
14.1%
Odds: 6.75
EV: -2.9%
Draw
24.2%
Odds: 4.00
EV: -1.9%
Away
61.7%
Odds: 1.40
EV: -13.6%
Model lean:
Away
Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
52.6%
Odds: 1.65
-13.2%
Over 3.5
27.7%
Odds: 2.88
-12.1%
BTTS
49.2%
Odds: 1.95
-4.1%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔
BTTS NO → YES ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st
0-2
✘
2nd
0-1
✘
3rd
1-1
✘
4th
1-2
✘
5th
0-3
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Zaqatala
0.69
Safa
1.97
Model Suggestion
Away
-13.6%
NO VALUE BET
No value bet:
model leans Away, but EV is -13.6% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
League Track Record
↗
Based on 28 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc
54%
O2.5/Under
57%
BTTS/No
50%
Score Hit
39%
ROI
-5.3%
Bet Hit
63%
(8 bets)
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63%
UPSET_VALUE
Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.25) vs Home AVERAGE (1.08)