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Azerbaijan - Birinci Dasta logo Azerbaijan flag Azerbaijan - Birinci Dasta Regular Season - 27 Friday, May 22, 2026 11:30
Zaqatala logo Zaqatala PPG 1.08
2-1 MISS
Safa logo Safa PPG 2.25
Draw· -1.9% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 14.1%
Odds: 6.75 EV: -2.9%
Draw 24.2%
Odds: 4.00 EV: -1.9%
Away 61.7%
Odds: 1.40 EV: -13.6%
Model lean: Away Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 52.6% Odds: 1.65 -13.2%
Over 3.5 27.7% Odds: 2.88 -12.1%
BTTS 49.2% Odds: 1.95 -4.1%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-2
2nd 0-1
3rd 1-1
4th 1-2
5th 0-3

Expected Goals (xG)

Zaqatala
0.69
Safa
1.97

Model Suggestion

Away -13.6% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Away, but EV is -13.6% at these odds — not a recommended bet.

League Track Record

Based on 28 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%
O2.5/Under 57%
BTTS/No 50%
Score Hit 39%
ROI -5.3%
Bet Hit 63% (8 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.25) vs Home AVERAGE (1.08)

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