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Wieczysta K. vs Chrobry Glogow Prediction— Poland - I Liga

Regular Season - 34 ·Sunday, May 24, 2026, 14:30

Wieczysta K.

PPG 1.56 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Chrobry Glogow

PPG 1.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 59.7% vs bookmaker-implied 61.7%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.4%0-17.0%0-24.6%0-32.0%0-4+0.9%1 1-08.7%1-111.4%1-27.4%1-33.2%1-4+1.4%2 2-07.0%2-19.2%2-26.0%2-32.6%2-4+1.1%3 3-03.8%3-14.9%3-23.2%3-31.4%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-02.2%4+-12.9%4+-21.9%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.6% 64.5% 1.55 -27.8%

Draw 26.6% 25.6% 3.90 +2.2%

Away win 26.8% 20.0% 5.00 +20.4%

Over 2.5 59.1% 61.7% 1.62 -4.3%

Over 3.5 33.5% 40.0% 2.50 -16.3%

BTTS 59.7% 61.7% 1.62 -3.3%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 47 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 47%

ROI -4.2%

Bet Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 47%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob59.7%

H 47% / xG 1.6-1.3 / O2.5 59% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 11.4%

#2 2–1 9.2%

#3 1–2 7.4%

#4 0–0 5.4%

#5 2–0 7.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Wieczysta K.1.6

Chrobry Glogow1.3

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.1% · O3.5 PROB 33.5%

Form & verdict PPG

WIECZYSTA K. · PPG 1.56

CHROBRY GLOGOW · PPG 1.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.56), Away GOOD (1.50)

Win probability 1X2

Wieczysta K. (H) 46.6%

ODDS 1.55 · IMPLIED 64.5% EV -27.8%

Draw 26.6%

ODDS 3.90 · IMPLIED 25.6% EV +2.2%

Chrobry Glogow (A) 26.8%

ODDS 5.00 · IMPLIED 20.0% EV +20.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Wieczysta K. face Chrobry Glogow in Poland - I Liga on Sunday, May 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Wieczysta K. a 47% chance, the draw 27% and Chrobry Glogow 27%, so Wieczysta K. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Wieczysta K. and 1.3 for Chrobry Glogow (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Wieczysta K. are averaging 1.56 points per game versus 1.50 for Chrobry Glogow. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +20.4%. This match finished 1-1.

Wieczysta K. vs Chrobry Glogow Prediction— Poland - I Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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