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Poland - I Liga logo Poland flag Poland - I Liga Regular Season - 34 Stadion Miejski przy Solskiego 1 w Mielcu· Mielec Sunday, May 24, 2026 14:30
Stal Mielec logo Stal Mielec PPG 1.00
4-1 MISS
Polonia Bytom logo Polonia Bytom PPG 1.25
Over3.5· +5.1% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 35.1%
Odds: 2.35 EV: -17.5%
Draw 23.7%
Odds: 3.65 EV: -8.1%
Away 41.2%
Odds: 2.50 EV: +3.0%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 63.9% Odds: 1.53 -2.2%
Over 3.5 44.7% Odds: 2.35 +5.1%
BTTS 60.3% Odds: 1.44 -13.2%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-2
3rd 2-1
4th 2-2
5th 0-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Stal Mielec
1.56
Polonia Bytom
1.86

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -2.2% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -2.2% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Over3.5 (+5.1%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 47 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%
O2.5/Under 60%
BTTS/No 60%
Score Hit 47%
ROI -2.1%
Bet Hit 53% (17 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away AVERAGE (1.25)

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