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Odra Opole vs Polonia Warszaw Prediction— Poland - I Liga

Regular Season - 34 ·Sunday, May 24, 2026, 14:30

Odra Opole

PPG 1.63 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Polonia Warszaw

PPG 1.63 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 51.7% vs bookmaker-implied 58.8%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.5%0-110.7%0-26.7%0-32.8%0-4+1.2%1 1-010.3%1-112.9%1-28.1%1-33.4%1-4+1.4%2 2-06.2%2-17.8%2-24.9%2-32.0%2-4+0.8%3 3-02.5%3-13.2%3-22.0%3-30.8%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-11.2%4+-20.8%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.9% 26.3% 3.80 +36.4%

Draw 27.3% 29.9% 3.35 -5.1%

Away win 36.8% 54.1% 1.85 -31.9%

Over 2.5 47.6% 54.1% 1.85 -11.9%

Over 3.5 23.5% 32.3% 3.10 -16.3%

BTTS 51.7% 58.8% 1.70 -12.1%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 47 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 47%

ROI -4.2%

Bet Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 17%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob51.7%

A 37% / xG 1.2-1.3 / O2.5 48% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.9%

#2 0–0 8.5%

#3 0–1 10.7%

#4 1–0 10.3%

#5 1–2✓ 8.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Odra Opole1.2

Polonia Warszaw1.3

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 47.6% · O3.5 PROB 23.5%

Form & verdict PPG

ODRA OPOLE · PPG 1.63

POLONIA WARSZAW · PPG 1.63

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity | Best EV...

48%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.63), Away GOOD (1.63)

Win probability 1X2

Odra Opole (H) 35.9%

ODDS 3.80 · IMPLIED 26.3% EV +36.4%

Draw 27.3%

ODDS 3.35 · IMPLIED 29.9% EV -5.1%

Polonia Warszaw (A) 36.8%

ODDS 1.85 · IMPLIED 54.1% EV -31.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Odra Opole face Polonia Warszaw in Poland - I Liga on Sunday, May 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Odra Opole a 36% chance, the draw 27% and Polonia Warszaw 37%, so Polonia Warszaw are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Odra Opole and 1.3 for Polonia Warszaw (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Odra Opole are averaging 1.63 points per game versus 1.63 for Polonia Warszaw. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +36.4%. This match finished 1-2.

Odra Opole vs Polonia Warszaw Prediction— Poland - I Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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