Spanish Town P. vs Portmore Utd Prediction— Jamaica - Premier League

Jamaica - Premier League Regular Season - 36 Royal Lakes Complex Thursday, April 23, 2026 20:30

Spanish Town P. PPG 1.06

0-1 HIT CS2

Portmore Utd PPG 1.67

Home· +1.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Spanish Town P. face Portmore Utd in Jamaica - Premier League on Thursday, April 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Spanish Town P. a 8% chance, the draw 15% and Portmore Utd 77%, so Portmore Utd are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.6 for Spanish Town P. and 2.4 for Portmore Utd (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 43% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Spanish Town P. are averaging 1.06 points per game versus 1.67 for Portmore Utd. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +1.4%. This match finished 0-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 7.8%

Odds: 13.00 EV: +1.4%

Draw 15.1%

Odds: 6.00 EV: -9.4%

Away 77.2%

Odds: 1.17 EV: -9.7%

Model lean: Away Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.6% Odds: 1.42 -15.4%

Over 3.5 37.2% Odds: 2.10 -21.9%

BTTS 43.2% Odds: 2.00 -13.6%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-2 ✘

2nd 0-1 ✔

3rd 0-3 ✘

4th 1-2 ✘

5th 1-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Spanish Town P.

0.64

Portmore Utd

2.44

Model SuggestionAway -9.7% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Away, but EV is -9.7% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Home (+1.4%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 74%

O2.5/Under 56%

BTTS/No 48%

Score Hit 37%

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.67) vs Home AVERAGE (1.06)