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Dunbeholden vs Harbour View Prediction— Jamaica - Premier League

Jamaica - Premier League logo Jamaica flag Jamaica - Premier League Regular Season - 36 Dunbeholden Sports Complex· Portmore Thursday, April 23, 2026 21:30
Dunbeholden logo Dunbeholden PPG 1.59
4-0 MISS
Harbour View logo Harbour View PPG 0.71
Home· +37.9% 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
95% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Dunbeholden face Harbour View in Jamaica - Premier League on Thursday, April 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dunbeholden a 59% chance, the draw 22% and Harbour View 19%, so Dunbeholden are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Dunbeholden and 1.0 for Harbour View (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dunbeholden are averaging 1.59 points per game versus 0.71 for Harbour View. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +37.9%. This match finished 4-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 59.2%
Odds: 2.33 EV: +37.9%
Draw 21.6%
Odds: 3.20 EV: -30.9%
Away 19.2%
Odds: 2.85 EV: -45.3%
Model lean: Home
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 57.5% Odds: 2.05 +17.9%
Over 3.5 35.1% Odds: 3.70 +29.9%
BTTS 55.2% Odds: 1.80 -0.6%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 1-0
4th 2-0
5th 3-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Dunbeholden
1.97
Harbour View
1.03

Model Suggestion

Home +37.9% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.

League Track Record

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 74%
O2.5/Under 56%
BTTS/No 48%
Score Hit 37%

Verdict & Form

🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
95%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.59) vs P(Home)=59.2%

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