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Los Chankas vs Cienciano Prediction— Peru - Primera División

Peru - Primera División logo Peru flag Peru - Primera División Apertura - 10 Estadio Municipal Los Chankas· Andahuaylas Thursday, April 23, 2026 20:00
Los Chankas logo Los Chankas PPG 3.00
1-0 MISS
Cienciano logo Cienciano PPG 1.50
Over3.5· +105.3% 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
98% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Los Chankas face Cienciano in Peru - Primera División on Thursday, April 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Los Chankas a 74% chance, the draw 13% and Cienciano 13%, so Los Chankas are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.3 for Los Chankas and 1.4 for Cienciano (4.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-1. There is a 85% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 73% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Los Chankas are averaging 3.00 points per game versus 1.50 for Cienciano. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +105.3%. This match finished 1-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 73.9%
Odds: 2.42 EV: +78.8%
Draw 13.4%
Odds: 3.40 EV: -54.4%
Away 12.8%
Odds: 2.76 EV: -64.7%
Model lean: Over 2.5
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 85.1% Odds: 1.80 +53.2%
Over 3.5 69.6% Odds: 2.95 +105.3%
BTTS 73.1% Odds: 1.60 +17.0%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 3-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 4-1
4th 3-2
5th 3-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Los Chankas
3.31
Cienciano
1.42

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 +53.2% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5.
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+105.3%)

League Track Record

Based on 56 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%
O2.5/Under 64%
BTTS/No 63%
Score Hit 52%
ROI -0.6%
Bet Hit 54% (26 bets)

Verdict & Form

🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
98%
STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (3.00), Away GOOD (1.50) - Strong consensus

PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. We do not provide financial or betting advice. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. Please gamble responsibly. 18+ only. BeGambleAware.org