FC Cajamarca vs Alianza Lima Prediction & Tips

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Peru - Primera División Apertura - 17 Estadio Heroes de San Ramon· Cajamarca Sunday, May 31, 2026 18:15

FC Cajamarca PPG 1.57

1-1 HIT CS2

Alianza Lima PPG 2.13

Over3.5· +10.1% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 20.9%

Odds: 4.50 EV: -3.6%

Draw 24.6%

Odds: 3.40 EV: -9.8%

Away 54.5%

Odds: 1.81 EV: -1.4%

Model lean: Away Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 47.5% Odds: 2.20 +4.5%

Over 3.5 27.8% Odds: 4.20 +10.1%

BTTS 47.2% Odds: 1.95 -8.0%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-1 ✘

2nd 1-1 ✔

3rd 0-2 ✘

4th 0-0 ✘

5th 1-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

FC Cajamarca

0.72

Alianza Lima

1.63

Model SuggestionAway -1.4% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Away, but EV is -1.4% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Over3.5 (+10.1%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.13) vs Home GOOD (1.57)