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Peru - Primera División logo Peru flag Peru - Primera División Apertura - 17 Estadio Campeones del 36· Sullana Friday, May 29, 2026 20:00
Atletico Grau logo Atletico Grau PPG 1.14
1-0 HIT CS3
UCV Moquegua logo UCV Moquegua PPG 0.50
Away· +30.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 38.4%
Odds: 1.63 EV: -37.4%
Draw 34.2%
Odds: 3.65 EV: +24.8%
Away 27.4%
Odds: 5.50 EV: +30.4%
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 34.0% Odds: 2.10 -28.6%
Over 3.5 18.6% Odds: 3.80 -17.6%
BTTS 45.5% Odds: 2.00 -9.0%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-0
2nd 1-1
3rd 1-0
4th 0-1
5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Atletico Grau
1.01
UCV Moquegua
0.78

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record

Based on 56 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%
O2.5/Under 64%
BTTS/No 63%
Score Hit 52%
ROI -0.6%
Bet Hit 54% (26 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.14) > Away POOR (0.50)

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