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Peru - Primera División
Apertura - 16
Estadio Juan Maldonado Gamarra· Cutervo
Monday, May 25, 2026
20:30
Comerciantes U.
PPG 1.88
0-0
HIT MostLikelyScore
D. Garcilaso
PPG 0.71
Draw· -1.6%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
43.3%
Odds: 2.25
EV: -2.6%
Draw
32.8%
Odds: 3.00
EV: -1.6%
Away
23.9%
Odds: 3.40
EV: -11.2%
Result: Draw ✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
35.0%
Odds: 2.30
-19.5%
Over 3.5
12.0%
Odds: 4.33
-28.8%
BTTS
48.6%
Odds: 1.91
-7.2%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔
BTTS NO → NO ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st
0-0
✔
2nd
1-1
✘
3rd
1-0
✘
4th
0-1
✘
5th
2-0
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Comerciantes U.
1.08
D. Garcilaso
0.79
Model Suggestion
No Bet
NO VALUE BET
Model lean:
No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME
Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.88) vs P(Home)=43.3%