← Back to picks 
Peru - Primera División Sunday, May 31, 2026 16:00 
FBC Melgar PPG 2.00 
Alianza A. PPG 1.00
Peru - Primera División Sunday, May 31, 2026 16:00 FBC Melgar PPG 2.003-1 MISS
Alianza A. PPG 1.00Away· +33.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 46.6% Odds: 2.00 -6.8%
Over 3.5 27.7% Odds: 3.50 -1.8%
BTTS 51.5% Odds: 1.95 +0.4%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 0-0 ✘
3rd 1-0 ✘
4th 2-0 ✘
5th 2-1 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
FBC Melgar 1.34
Alianza A. 0.91
Model Suggestion
BTTS +0.4% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is +0.4% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+33.0%) — probability too low to qualify.
Highest raw EV: Away (+33.0%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 55%
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=47.4%