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Peru - Primera División logo Peru flag Peru - Primera División Apertura - 17 Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega· Cusco Saturday, May 30, 2026 20:00
D. Garcilaso logo D. Garcilaso PPG 2.13
4-1 MISS
Juan Pablo II logo Juan Pablo II PPG 1.00
Away· +24.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 55.7%
Odds: 1.45 EV: -19.2%
Draw 22.9%
Odds: 4.35 EV: -0.2%
Away 21.3%
Odds: 6.60 EV: +24.3%
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 53.5% Odds: 1.65 -11.7%
Over 3.5 32.2% Odds: 2.65 -14.7%
BTTS 51.8% Odds: 1.75 -9.3%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-0
3rd 1-0
4th 2-1
5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

D. Garcilaso
1.89
Juan Pablo II
0.91

Model Suggestion

Home -19.2% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -19.2% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+24.3%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.13) vs P(Home)=55.7%

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