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Salford City vs Bromley Prediction— England - League Two

England - League Two logo England flag England - League Two Regular Season - 45 Peninsula Stadium· Salford Thursday, April 23, 2026 19:00
Salford City logo Salford City PPG 1.95
2-0 MISS
Bromley logo Bromley PPG 1.64
Away· +49.6% ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
75% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Salford City face Bromley in England - League Two on Thursday, April 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Salford City a 37% chance, the draw 28% and Bromley 35%, so Salford City are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Salford City and 1.2 for Bromley (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Salford City are averaging 1.95 points per game versus 1.64 for Bromley. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +49.6%. This match finished 2-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 37.4%
Odds: 1.77 EV: -33.8%
Draw 27.8%
Odds: 3.65 EV: +1.5%
Away 34.8%
Odds: 4.30 EV: +49.6%
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 42.5% Odds: 1.95 -17.1%
Over 3.5 21.7% Odds: 3.40 -26.2%
BTTS 48.4% Odds: 1.83 -11.4%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-0
3rd 0-1
4th 0-0
5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Salford City
1.22
Bromley
1.17

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
75%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.95) > Away GOOD (1.64)

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