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Salford City vs Bromley Prediction— England - League Two

Regular Season - 45 ·Thursday, April 23, 2026, 19:00

Salford City

PPG 1.95 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

Bromley

PPG 1.64 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.2%0-110.8%0-26.3%0-32.4%0-4+0.9%1 1-011.2%1-113.1%1-27.6%1-33.0%1-4+1.1%2 2-06.8%2-18.0%2-24.6%2-31.8%2-4+0.7%3 3-02.8%3-13.2%3-21.9%3-30.7%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-11.3%4+-20.7%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 37.4% 56.5% 1.77 -33.8%

Draw 27.8% 27.4% 3.65 +1.5%

Away win 34.8% 23.3% 4.30 +49.6%

Over 2.5 42.5% 51.3% 1.95 -17.1%

Over 3.5 21.7% 29.4% 3.40 -26.2%

BTTS 48.4% 54.6% 1.83 -11.4%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 41 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 51%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 49%

ROI 9.4%

Bet Hit 65%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 26%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob48.4%

H 37% / xG 1.2-1.2 / U2.5 42% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.1%

#2 1–0 11.2%

#3 0–1 10.8%

#4 0–0 9.2%

#5 2–1 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Salford City1.2

Bromley1.2

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 42.5% · O3.5 PROB 21.7%

Form & verdict PPG

SALFORD CITY · PPG 1.95

BROMLEY · PPG 1.64

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.95) > Away GOOD (1.64)

Win probability 1X2

Salford City (H) 37.4%

ODDS 1.77 · IMPLIED 56.5% EV -33.8%

Draw 27.8%

ODDS 3.65 · IMPLIED 27.4% EV +1.5%

Bromley (A) 34.8%

ODDS 4.30 · IMPLIED 23.3% EV +49.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Salford City face Bromley in England - League Two on Thursday, April 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Salford City a 37% chance, the draw 28% and Bromley 35%, so Salford City are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Salford City and 1.2 for Bromley (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Salford City are averaging 1.95 points per game versus 1.64 for Bromley. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +49.6%. This match finished 2-0.

Salford City vs Bromley Prediction— England - League Two

Match Preview & Prediction

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