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Mladost Lucani vs Radnicki 1923 Prediction— Serbia - Super Liga

Relegation Group - 32 ·Thursday, April 23, 2026, 18:00

Mladost Lucani

PPG 1.40 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

Radnicki 1923

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.0%0-114.4%0-27.4%0-32.6%0-4+0.8%1 1-013.1%1-113.5%1-27.0%1-32.4%1-4+0.8%2 2-06.1%2-16.3%2-23.2%2-31.1%2-4+0.4%3 3-01.9%3-12.0%3-21.0%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-10.6%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 31.9% 29.0% 3.45 +10.1%

Draw 31.1% 33.6% 2.98 -7.3%

Away win 36.9% 46.3% 2.16 -20.3%

Over 2.5 31.4% 46.5% 2.15 -32.5%

Over 3.5 13.7% 26.0% 3.85 -47.3%

BTTS 39.1% 55.6% 1.80 -29.6%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 37 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 38%

O2.5 43%

BTTS 41%

Score Hit 49%

ROI -0.0%

Bet Hit 58%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 58%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob39.1%

D 31% / xG 0.9-1.0 / U2.5 31% / NoBTTS 39%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1 14.4%

#2 0–0✓ 14.0%

#3 1–1 13.5%

#4 1–0 13.1%

#5 0–2 7.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Mladost Lucani0.9

Radnicki 19231.0

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 31.4% · O3.5 PROB 13.7%

Form & verdict PPG

MLADOST LUCANI · PPG 1.40

RADNICKI 1923 · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.40) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Mladost Lucani (H) 31.9%

ODDS 3.45 · IMPLIED 29.0% EV +10.1%

Draw 31.1%

ODDS 2.98 · IMPLIED 33.6% EV -7.3%

Radnicki 1923 (A) 36.9%

ODDS 2.16 · IMPLIED 46.3% EV -20.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Mladost Lucani face Radnicki 1923 in Serbia - Super Liga on Thursday, April 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Mladost Lucani a 32% chance, the draw 31% and Radnicki 1923 37%, so Radnicki 1923 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Mladost Lucani and 1.0 for Radnicki 1923 (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 31% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 39% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Mladost Lucani are averaging 1.40 points per game versus 1.00 for Radnicki 1923. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +10.1%. This match finished 0-0.

Mladost Lucani vs Radnicki 1923 Prediction— Serbia - Super Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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