Mladost Lucani vs Radnicki 1923 Prediction— Serbia - Super Liga

Serbia - Super Liga Relegation Group - 32 Thursday, April 23, 2026 18:00

Mladost Lucani PPG 1.40

0-0 HIT CS2

Radnicki 1923 PPG 1.00

Home· +10.1% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Mladost Lucani face Radnicki 1923 in Serbia - Super Liga on Thursday, April 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Mladost Lucani a 32% chance, the draw 31% and Radnicki 1923 37%, so Radnicki 1923 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Mladost Lucani and 1.0 for Radnicki 1923 (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 31% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 39% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Mladost Lucani are averaging 1.40 points per game versus 1.00 for Radnicki 1923. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +10.1%. This match finished 0-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 31.9%

Odds: 3.45 EV: +10.1%

Draw 31.1%

Odds: 2.98 EV: -7.3%

Away 36.9%

Odds: 2.16 EV: -20.3%

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 31.4% Odds: 2.15 -32.5%

Over 3.5 13.7% Odds: 3.85 -47.3%

BTTS 39.1% Odds: 1.80 -29.6%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✔

3rd 1-1 ✘

4th 1-0 ✘

5th 0-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Mladost Lucani

0.94

Radnicki 1923

1.03

Model SuggestionNo Bet  NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 37 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 38%

O2.5/Under 43%

BTTS/No 41%

Score Hit 49%

ROI -53.7%

Bet Hit 23% (13 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.40) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)