Serbia - Super LigaChampionship Group - 37Saturday, May 23, 202616:00
VojvodinaPPG 2.11
3-0MISS
Novi PazarPPG 1.28
Away· +17.5%⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home52.8%
Odds: 1.48EV: -21.9%
Draw25.3%
Odds: 4.10EV: +2.2%
Away21.9%
Odds: 5.90EV: +17.5%
Model lean: HomeNot tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.552.6%Odds: 1.70-10.6%
Over 3.527.2%Odds: 2.75-15.1%
BTTS51.6%Odds: 1.77-8.7%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st1-1✘
2nd2-0✘
3rd1-0✘
4th2-1✘
5th0-0✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Vojvodina
1.76
Novi Pazar
0.87
Model Suggestion
Home-21.9%NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -21.9% at these odds — not a recommended bet. Highest raw EV: Away (+17.5%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.11) vs P(Home)=52.8%