Today / Serbia - Super Liga / Vojvodina vs Novi Pazar

Vojvodina vs Novi Pazar Prediction— Serbia - Super Liga

Championship Group - 37 ·Saturday, May 23, 2026, 16:00

Vojvodina

PPG 2.11 · HOME

3 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Novi Pazar

PPG 1.28 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 52.8% vs bookmaker-implied 67.6%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.2%0-16.3%0-22.7%0-30.8%0-4+0.2%1 1-012.6%1-111.0%1-24.8%1-31.4%1-4+0.4%2 2-011.1%2-19.7%2-24.2%2-31.2%2-4+0.3%3 3-06.5%3-15.7%3-22.5%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-04.3%4+-13.7%4+-21.6%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 52.8% 67.6% 1.48 -21.9%

Draw 25.3% 24.4% 4.10 +2.2%

Away win 21.9% 16.9% 5.90 +17.5%

Over 2.5 52.6% 58.8% 1.70 -10.6%

Over 3.5 27.2% 36.4% 2.75 -15.1%

BTTS 51.6% 56.5% 1.77 -8.7%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 37 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 38%

O2.5 43%

BTTS 41%

Score Hit 49%

ROI -0.0%

Bet Hit 58%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 32%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-0

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob51.6%

H 53% / xG 1.8-0.9 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.0%

#2 2–0 11.1%

#3 1–0 12.6%

#4 2–1 9.7%

#5 0–0 7.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Vojvodina1.8

Novi Pazar0.9

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 52.6% · O3.5 PROB 27.2%

Form & verdict PPG

VOJVODINA · PPG 2.11

NOVI PAZAR · PPG 1.28

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.11) vs P(Home)=52.8%

Win probability 1X2

Vojvodina (H) 52.8%

ODDS 1.48 · IMPLIED 67.6% EV -21.9%

Draw 25.3%

ODDS 4.10 · IMPLIED 24.4% EV +2.2%

Novi Pazar (A) 21.9%

ODDS 5.90 · IMPLIED 16.9% EV +17.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Vojvodina face Novi Pazar in Serbia - Super Liga on Saturday, May 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Vojvodina a 53% chance, the draw 25% and Novi Pazar 22%, so Vojvodina are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Vojvodina and 0.9 for Novi Pazar (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Vojvodina are averaging 2.11 points per game versus 1.28 for Novi Pazar. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +17.5%. This match finished 3-0.

Vojvodina vs Novi Pazar Prediction— Serbia - Super Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

More Serbia - Super Liga Predictions