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Serbia - Super Liga
Relegation Group - 36
TSC Arena
Saturday, May 16, 2026
18:00
Backa Topola
PPG 1.33
1-2
MISS
Radnicki Nis
PPG 0.72
Away· -3.3%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
46.6%
Odds: 2.06
EV: -4.0%
Draw
28.2%
Odds: 2.98
EV: -9.6%
Away
25.2%
Odds: 3.75
EV: -3.3%
Model lean:
BTTS
Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
46.2%
Odds: 1.90
-12.2%
Over 3.5
19.3%
Odds: 3.00
-25.3%
BTTS
50.9%
Odds: 1.65
-16.0%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘
BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-1
✘
2nd
0-0
✘
3rd
1-0
✘
4th
2-0
✘
5th
2-1
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Backa Topola
1.31
Radnicki Nis
0.95
Model Suggestion
BTTS
-16.0%
NO VALUE BET
No value bet:
model leans BTTS, but EV is -16.0% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME
Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.33) > Away POOR (0.72)