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Serbia - Super Liga logo Serbia flag Serbia - Super Liga Relegation Group - 37 Sunday, May 24, 2026 17:30
Mladost Lucani logo Mladost Lucani PPG 1.47
1-0 HIT CS2
Napredak logo Napredak PPG 0.39
Away· +391.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 50.5%
Odds: 1.14 EV: -42.4%
Draw 25.9%
Odds: 5.60 EV: +27.0%
Away 23.5%
Odds: 32.00 EV: +391.2%
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 46.9% Odds: 1.90 -10.9%
Over 3.5 20.9% Odds: 3.10 -21.1%
BTTS 49.2% Odds: 3.75 +84.5%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-0
3rd 0-0
4th 2-0
5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Mladost Lucani
1.51
Napredak
0.83

Model Suggestion

Home -42.4% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -42.4% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+391.2%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 37 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 38%
O2.5/Under 43%
BTTS/No 41%
Score Hit 49%
ROI -53.7%
Bet Hit 23% (13 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: AVERAGE form (1.47) vs P(Home)=50.5%

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