IMT N. Beograd vs Backa Topola Prediction & Tips

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Serbia - Super Liga Relegation Group - 37 Sunday, May 24, 2026 17:30

IMT N. Beograd PPG 1.50

1-1 HIT MostLikelyScore

Backa Topola PPG 1.18

Home· +86.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 35.8%

Odds: 5.20 EV: +86.2%

Draw 28.7%

Odds: 3.95 EV: +8.0%

Away 35.5%

Odds: 1.55 EV: -45.0%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 46.2% Odds: 1.83 -15.4%

Over 3.5 19.1% Odds: 3.10 -24.5%

BTTS 51.6% Odds: 1.83 -5.6%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✔

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 0-1 ✘

5th 2-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

IMT N. Beograd

1.13

Backa Topola

1.12

Model SuggestionBTTS -5.6% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -5.6% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Home (+86.2%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.50) > Away AVERAGE (1.18)