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Javor Ivanjica vs Mladost Lucani Prediction— Serbia - Super Liga

Relegation Group · Matchday 36 ·Saturday, May 16, 2026, 18:00

Javor Ivanjica

PPG 1.56 · HOME

LAST 5

WDLLD

2 – 4

FULL TIME

Mladost Lucani

PPG 0.83 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWLWW

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-013.0%0-19.8%0-23.7%0-30.9%0-4+0.2%1 1-016.7%1-112.6%1-24.8%1-31.2%1-4+0.3%2 2-010.8%2-18.1%2-23.1%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-04.6%3-13.5%3-21.3%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-02.0%4+-11.5%4+-20.6%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.0% 54.3% 1.84 -11.7%

Draw 28.0% 30.8% 3.25 -5.4%

Away win 24.0% 23.8% 4.20 +0.5%

Over 2.5 46.2% 45.5% 2.20 +1.6%

Over 3.5 15.1% 23.8% 4.20 -21.9%

BTTS 48.6% 51.3% 1.95 -5.2%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 60 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 45%

O2.5 47%

BTTS 42%

Score Hit 47%

ROI -37.4%

Bet Hit 31%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 31%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-4

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob48.6%

H 48% / xG 1.3-0.8 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 13.0%

#2 1–0 16.7%

#3 1–1 12.6%

#4 2–0 10.8%

#5 2–1 8.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Javor Ivanjica1.3

Mladost Lucani0.8

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.2% · O3.5 PROB 15.1%

Form & verdict PPG

JAVOR IVANJICA · PPG 1.56

MLADOST LUCANI · PPG 0.83

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

49%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.56) > Away POOR (0.83)

Win probability 1X2

Javor Ivanjica (H) 48.0%

ODDS 1.84 · IMPLIED 54.3% EV -11.7%

Draw 28.0%

ODDS 3.25 · IMPLIED 30.8% EV -5.4%

Mladost Lucani (A) 24.0%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV +0.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Javor Ivanjica face Mladost Lucani in Serbia - Super Liga on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Javor Ivanjica a 48% chance, the draw 28% and Mladost Lucani 24%, so Javor Ivanjica are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Javor Ivanjica and 0.8 for Mladost Lucani (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Javor Ivanjica are averaging 1.56 points per game versus 0.83 for Mladost Lucani. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +1.6%. This match finished 2-4.

Javor Ivanjica vs Mladost Lucani Prediction— Serbia - Super Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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