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Serbia - Super Liga logo Serbia flag Serbia - Super Liga Championship Group - 37 Stadion Partizana· Belgrade Saturday, May 23, 2026 13:00
Partizan logo Partizan PPG 2.17
5-0 MISS
R. Surdulica logo R. Surdulica PPG 0.94
Away· +25.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 50.9%
Odds: 1.52 EV: -22.6%
Draw 25.1%
Odds: 3.80 EV: -2.8%
Away 24.0%
Odds: 5.90 EV: +25.0%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 51.9% Odds: 1.83 -5.0%
Over 3.5 26.1% Odds: 3.00 -13.0%
BTTS 51.6% Odds: 1.83 -5.6%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-0
3rd 2-0
4th 2-1
5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Partizan
1.64
R. Surdulica
0.95

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -5.0% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -5.0% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+25.0%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.17) vs P(Home)=50.9%

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