Today / Serbia - Super Liga / Radnicki 1923 vs Javor Ivanjica

Radnicki 1923 vs Javor Ivanjica Prediction— Serbia - Super Liga

Relegation Group - 37 ·Sunday, May 24, 2026, 17:30

Radnicki 1923

PPG 1.44 · HOME

2 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Javor Ivanjica

PPG 0.76 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 50.2% vs bookmaker-implied 43.5% — a clear edge.

+15.5% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.0%0-18.9%0-24.0%0-31.2%0-4+0.3%1 1-014.2%1-112.6%1-25.6%1-31.7%1-4+0.4%2 2-010.0%2-18.9%2-23.9%2-31.2%2-4+0.3%3 3-04.7%3-14.2%3-21.9%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-02.3%4+-12.0%4+-20.9%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.6% 74.6% 1.34 -34.9%

Draw 27.0% 24.4% 4.10 +6.4%

Away win 24.4% 9.8% 10.25 +90.1%

Over 2.5 46.4% 50.0% 2.00 -7.2%

Over 3.5 20.0% 29.4% 3.40 -19.2%

BTTS 50.2% 43.5% 2.30 +15.5%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 37 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 38%

O2.5 43%

BTTS 41%

Score Hit 49%

ROI -0.0%

Bet Hit 58%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 28%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob50.2%

H 49% / xG 1.4-0.9 / U2.5 46% / BTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.6%

#2 1–0 14.2%

#3 0–0 10.0%

#4 2–0 10.0%

#5 2–1 8.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Radnicki 19231.4

Javor Ivanjica0.9

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.4% · O3.5 PROB 20.0%

Form & verdict PPG

RADNICKI 1923 · PPG 1.44

JAVOR IVANJICA · PPG 0.76

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.44) > Away POOR (0.76)

Win probability 1X2

Radnicki 1923 (H) 48.6%

ODDS 1.34 · IMPLIED 74.6% EV -34.9%

Draw 27.0%

ODDS 4.10 · IMPLIED 24.4% EV +6.4%

Javor Ivanjica (A) 24.4%

ODDS 10.25 · IMPLIED 9.8% EV +90.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Radnicki 1923 face Javor Ivanjica in Serbia - Super Liga on Sunday, May 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Radnicki 1923 a 49% chance, the draw 27% and Javor Ivanjica 24%, so Radnicki 1923 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Radnicki 1923 and 0.9 for Javor Ivanjica (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Radnicki 1923 are averaging 1.44 points per game versus 0.76 for Javor Ivanjica. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +90.1%. This match finished 2-2.

Radnicki 1923 vs Javor Ivanjica Prediction— Serbia - Super Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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