Today / Serbia - Super Liga / Radnicki 1923 vs Javor Ivanjica

Radnicki 1923 vs Javor Ivanjica Prediction— Serbia - Super Liga

Relegation Group · Matchday 37 ·Sunday, May 24, 2026, 17:30

Radnicki 1923 logo
Radnicki 1923
PPG 1.44 · HOME
LAST 5
WDDDD
2 – 2
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS
Javor Ivanjica logo
Javor Ivanjica
PPG 0.76 · AWAY
LAST 5
WDLLD

// Model verdict

BTTS 46% chance

Model probability 50.2% vs bookmaker-implied 43.5% — a clear edge.

+15.5% EXPECTED VALUE ↗
ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.0%0-18.9%0-24.0%0-31.2%0-4+0.3%1 1-014.2%1-112.6%1-25.6%1-31.7%1-4+0.4%2 2-010.0%2-18.9%2-23.9%2-31.2%2-4+0.3%3 3-04.7%3-14.2%3-21.9%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-02.3%4+-12.0%4+-20.9%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 48.6% 74.6% 1.34 -34.9%
Draw 27.0% 24.4% 4.10 +6.4%
Away win 24.4% 9.8% 10.25 +90.1%
Over 2.5 46.4% 50.0% 2.00 -7.2%
Over 3.5 20.0% 29.4% 3.40 -19.2%
BTTS 50.2% 43.5% 2.30 +15.5%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

League track record

Based on 60 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 45%
O2.5 47%
BTTS 42%
Score Hit 47%
ROI -37.4%
Bet Hit 31%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 28%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 2-2
xG (home)1.4 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob50.2%

H 49% / xG 1.4-0.9 / U2.5 46% / BTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.6%
#2 1–0 14.2%
#3 0–0 10.0%
#4 2–0 10.0%
#5 2–1 8.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Radnicki 19231.4
Javor Ivanjica0.9

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.4% · O3.5 PROB 20.0%

Form & verdict PPG

RADNICKI 1923 · PPG 1.44

JAVOR IVANJICA · PPG 0.76

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
Chance this pick lands
46%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.44) > Away POOR (0.76)

Win probability 1X2

Radnicki 1923 (H) 48.6%
ODDS 1.34 · IMPLIED 74.6% EV -34.9%
Draw 27.0%
ODDS 4.10 · IMPLIED 24.4% EV +6.4%
Javor Ivanjica (A) 24.4%
ODDS 10.25 · IMPLIED 9.8% EV +90.1%

Season Statistics average per match · 37 matches · 2025

Radnicki 1923 ▾ lower is better Javor Ivanjica

Attack

13.8
Shots
10.4
4.5
Shots on target
4.1
5.6
Shots off target
4.1
3.6
Blocked shots
2.1
8.2
Shots inside box
6.9
5.6
Shots outside box
3.5
32.9%
Shooting accuracy
39.7%
24.4%
Goals per shot on target
26.8%
1.11
Goals
1.11
1.12
xG for 16·21 of 37
1.35

Defence

10.4
Shots faced
14.6
3.7
Shots on target faced
4.7
1.14
Goals conceded
1.46
1.17
xG against 16·21 of 37
1.53
2.5
Goalkeeper saves
3.2

Control

51.8%
Possession
43.1%
374
Passes
340
295
Accurate passes
264
78.9%
Pass accuracy
77.7%
4.6
Corners
3.9
3.7
Corners faced
5.8
1.3
Offsides
1.3

Discipline

12.8
Fouls
12.8
2.4
Yellow cards
2.0
0.11
Red cards
0.11

Match Preview & Prediction

Radnicki 1923 face Javor Ivanjica in Serbia - Super Liga on Sunday, May 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Radnicki 1923 a 49% chance, the draw 27% and Javor Ivanjica 24%, so Radnicki 1923 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Radnicki 1923 and 0.9 for Javor Ivanjica (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Radnicki 1923 are averaging 1.44 points per game versus 0.76 for Javor Ivanjica. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +90.1%. This match finished 2-2.

PredictVantage

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