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OFK Beograd vs Vojvodina Prediction— Serbia - Super Liga

Championship Group · Matchday 36 ·Sunday, May 17, 2026, 18:00

OFK Beograd

PPG 0.94 · HOME

LAST 5

DLDLW

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Vojvodina

PPG 1.88 · AWAY

LAST 5

DWWWW

// Model verdict

BTTS 58% chance

Model probability 51.6% vs bookmaker-implied 60.6%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.0%0-112.5%0-28.7%0-34.1%0-4+1.9%1 1-09.1%1-112.7%1-28.9%1-34.1%1-4+2.0%2 2-04.6%2-16.4%2-24.5%2-32.1%2-4+1.0%3 3-01.6%3-12.2%3-21.5%3-30.7%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-10.7%4+-20.5%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 28.4% 29.4% 3.40 -2.1%

Draw 28.1% 27.4% 3.65 +1.5%

Away win 43.4% 52.1% 1.92 -16.7%

Over 2.5 47.6% 57.1% 1.75 -16.7%

Over 3.5 22.3% 33.9% 2.95 -20.5%

BTTS 51.6% 60.6% 1.65 -14.9%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 60 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 45%

O2.5 47%

BTTS 42%

Score Hit 47%

ROI -37.4%

Bet Hit 31%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 23%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob51.6%

A 43% / xG 1.0-1.4 / U2.5 48% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.7%

#2 0–0 9.0%

#3 0–1 12.5%

#4 1–2✓ 8.9%

#5 0–2 8.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

OFK Beograd1.0

Vojvodina1.4

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 47.6% · O3.5 PROB 22.3%

Form & verdict PPG

OFK BEOGRAD · PPG 0.94

VOJVODINA · PPG 1.88

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

58%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.88) vs Home POOR (0.94)

Win probability 1X2

OFK Beograd (H) 28.4%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -2.1%

Draw 28.1%

ODDS 3.65 · IMPLIED 27.4% EV +1.5%

Vojvodina (A) 43.4%

ODDS 1.92 · IMPLIED 52.1% EV -16.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

OFK Beograd face Vojvodina in Serbia - Super Liga on Sunday, May 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives OFK Beograd a 28% chance, the draw 28% and Vojvodina 43%, so Vojvodina are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for OFK Beograd and 1.4 for Vojvodina (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, OFK Beograd are averaging 0.94 points per game versus 1.88 for Vojvodina. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +1.5%. This match finished 1-2.

OFK Beograd vs Vojvodina Prediction— Serbia - Super Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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