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Zamalek vs Pyramids FC Prediction— Egypt - Premier League

Championship Group - 3 ·Thursday, April 23, 2026, 18:00

Zamalek

PPG 2.40 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Pyramids FC

PPG 2.10 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 61.8% vs bookmaker-implied 35.7% — a clear edge.

+73.0% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.2%0-16.5%0-22.1%0-30.4%0-4+0.1%1 1-016.8%1-110.7%1-23.4%1-30.7%1-4+0.1%2 2-013.8%2-18.8%2-22.8%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-07.6%3-14.8%3-21.5%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-04.5%4+-12.9%4+-20.9%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 61.8% 35.7% 2.80 +73.0%

Draw 24.1% 33.6% 2.98 -28.2%

Away win 14.2% 39.7% 2.52 -64.2%

Over 2.5 39.9% 45.5% 2.20 -12.2%

Over 3.5 19.7% 23.8% 4.20 -17.3%

BTTS 38.0% 54.6% 1.83 -30.5%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 39%

O2.5 59%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 46%

ROI -23.4%

Bet Hit 36%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 56%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob38.0%

H 62% / xG 1.6-0.6 / U2.5 40% / NoBTTS 38%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0✓ 16.8%

#2 2–0 13.8%

#3 1–1 10.7%

#4 0–0 10.2%

#5 2–1 8.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Zamalek1.6

Pyramids FC0.6

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 39.9% · O3.5 PROB 19.7%

Form & verdict PPG

ZAMALEK · PPG 2.40

PYRAMIDS FC · PPG 2.10

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.40), Away EXCELLENT (2.10)

Win probability 1X2

Zamalek (H) 61.8%

ODDS 2.80 · IMPLIED 35.7% EV +73.0%

Draw 24.1%

ODDS 2.98 · IMPLIED 33.6% EV -28.2%

Pyramids FC (A) 14.2%

ODDS 2.52 · IMPLIED 39.7% EV -64.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Zamalek face Pyramids FC in Egypt - Premier League on Thursday, April 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Zamalek a 62% chance, the draw 24% and Pyramids FC 14%, so Zamalek are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Zamalek and 0.6 for Pyramids FC (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 40% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 38% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Zamalek are averaging 2.40 points per game versus 2.10 for Pyramids FC. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +73.0%. This match finished 1-0.

Zamalek vs Pyramids FC Prediction— Egypt - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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