Ghazl El M. vs Petrojet Prediction— Egypt - Premier League

Egypt - Premier League Relegation Group - 6 El-Gazel Stadium· El Mahalla El Kubra Thursday, April 23, 2026 18:00

Ghazl El M. PPG 1.23

1-1 HIT CS5

Petrojet PPG 1.00

Home· +30.6% ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Ghazl El M. face Petrojet in Egypt - Premier League on Thursday, April 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ghazl El M. a 46% chance, the draw 37% and Petrojet 17%, so Ghazl El M. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Ghazl El M. and 0.4 for Petrojet (1.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 15% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 21% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ghazl El M. are averaging 1.23 points per game versus 1.00 for Petrojet. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +30.6%. This match finished 1-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 46.0%

Odds: 2.84 EV: +30.6%

Draw 37.4%

Odds: 2.65 EV: -0.9%

Away 16.6%

Odds: 2.78 EV: -53.8%

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 15.3% Odds: 2.88 -55.9%

Over 3.5 4.7% Odds: 5.75 -73.0%

BTTS 20.8% Odds: 2.15 -55.3%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-0 ✘

2nd 1-0 ✘

3rd 0-1 ✘

4th 2-0 ✘

5th 1-1 ✔

Expected Goals (xG)

Ghazl El M.

0.91

Petrojet

0.43

Model SuggestionNo Bet  ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home. 

Verdict & Form

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.23), Away AVERAGE (1.00)