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Portugal - Primeira Liga Thursday, April 23, 2026 18:00 
Casa Pia PPG 1.00 
Sporting Braga PPG 1.79
Portugal - Primeira Liga Thursday, April 23, 2026 18:00 Casa Pia PPG 1.000-1 HIT CS3
Sporting Braga PPG 1.79Over3.5· +33.9% 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity
95% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Away
Result: Away
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 63.3% Odds: 1.90 +20.3%
Over 3.5 41.2% Odds: 3.25 +33.9%
BTTS 54.1% Odds: 1.90 +2.8%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st 0-2 ✘
2nd 1-2 ✘
3rd 0-1 ✔
4th 0-3 ✘
5th 1-1 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Casa Pia 0.91
Sporting Braga 2.35
Model Suggestion
Away +9.0% ROI TRACKS: Away
Tracked ROI market: Away.
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+33.9%)
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+33.9%)
Verdict & Form
🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity
UPSET_VALUE 95%
Away momentum: GOOD form (1.79) vs Home AVERAGE (1.00)