Moreirense vs AVS Prediction & Tips

Portugal - Primeira Liga Regular Season - 34 Parque Joaquim de Almeida Freitas· Moreira de Conegos Saturday, May 16, 2026 14:30

Moreirense PPG 1.63

0-0 HIT CS5

AVS PPG 0.50

Over2.5· -3.7% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55% confidence

Home 53.0%

Odds: 1.81 EV: -4.1%

Draw 24.9%

Odds: 3.65 EV: -5.5%

Away 22.0%

Odds: 4.10 EV: -5.9%

Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Over 2.5 52.6% Odds: 1.83 -3.7%

Over 3.5 27.8% Odds: 3.00 -10.0%

BTTS 51.6% Odds: 1.73 -10.7%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-0 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 2-1 ✘

5th 0-0 ✔

Moreirense

1.79

AVS

0.88

Model SuggestionHome -4.1% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -4.1% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.63) vs P(Home)=53.0%