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Portugal - Primeira Liga Saturday, May 16, 2026 17:00 
Sporting Braga PPG 1.81 
Estrela Amadora PPG 0.69
Portugal - Primeira Liga Saturday, May 16, 2026 17:00 Sporting Braga PPG 1.812-2 MISS
Estrela Amadora PPG 0.69Over2.5· +6.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Home
Result: Draw
✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 59.1% Odds: 1.80 +6.4%
Over 3.5 35.3% Odds: 3.00 +5.9%
BTTS 51.6% Odds: 1.77 -8.7%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 2-0 ✘
2nd 1-1 ✘
3rd 2-1 ✘
4th 1-0 ✘
5th 3-0 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Sporting Braga 2.18
Estrela Amadora 0.82
Model Suggestion
Home +0.3% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.
Raw EV leader: Over2.5(+6.4%)
Raw EV leader: Over2.5(+6.4%)
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 55%
Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.81) vs P(Home)=60.4%