Sporting CP vs Gil Vicente Prediction & Tips

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Portugal - Primeira Liga Regular Season - 34 Estádio José Alvalade· Lisbon Saturday, May 16, 2026 19:30

Sporting CP PPG 2.38

3-0 HIT CS5

Gil Vicente PPG 1.25

Away· +74.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 59.4%

Odds: 1.22 EV: -27.5%

Draw 22.7%

Odds: 5.90 EV: +20.4%

Away 17.9%

Odds: 12.50 EV: +74.3%

Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 54.9% Odds: 1.45 -20.4%

Over 3.5 32.0% Odds: 2.15 -31.2%

BTTS 51.6% Odds: 1.90 -2.0%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0 ✘

2nd 1-1 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 2-1 ✘

5th 3-0 ✔

Expected Goals (xG)

Sporting CP

2.07

Gil Vicente

0.79

Model SuggestionHome -27.5% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -27.5% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+74.3%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.38) vs P(Home)=59.4%