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Al Bataeh vs Al Ain Prediction— United-Arab-Emirates - Pro League

Regular Season - 23 ·Thursday, April 23, 2026, 16:45

Al Bataeh

PPG 0.82 · HOME

0 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY

Al Ain

PPG 2.64 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Model probability 73.1% vs bookmaker-implied 73.5%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.9%0-112.9%0-214.1%0-310.3%0-4+9.5%1 1-03.8%1-18.3%1-29.1%1-36.6%1-4+6.1%2 2-01.2%2-12.6%2-22.9%2-32.1%2-4+1.9%3 3-00.3%3-10.6%3-20.6%3-30.5%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.1%4+-20.1%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 9.4% 12.7% 7.90 -25.7%

Draw 17.5% 22.5% 4.45 -22.1%

Away win 73.1% 73.5% 1.36 -0.6%

Over 2.5 53.9% 61.7% 1.62 -12.7%

Over 3.5 31.6% 39.2% 2.55 -19.4%

BTTS 42.0% 54.6% 1.83 -23.1%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 21 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 52%

ROI -7.3%

Bet Hit 60%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 3 59%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-2

xG (home)0.6 xG (away)2.2 BTTS prob42.0%

A 73% / xG 0.6-2.2 / O2.5 54% / NoBTTS 42%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2✓ 14.1%

#2 0–1 12.9%

#3 0–3 10.3%

#4 1–2 9.1%

#5 1–1 8.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Al Bataeh0.6

Al Ain2.2

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.9% · O3.5 PROB 31.6%

Form & verdict PPG

AL BATAEH · PPG 0.82

AL AIN · PPG 2.64

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.64) vs Home POOR (0.82)

Win probability 1X2

Al Bataeh (H) 9.4%

ODDS 7.90 · IMPLIED 12.7% EV -25.7%

Draw 17.5%

ODDS 4.45 · IMPLIED 22.5% EV -22.1%

Al Ain (A) 73.1%

ODDS 1.36 · IMPLIED 73.5% EV -0.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Bataeh face Al Ain in United-Arab-Emirates - Pro League on Thursday, April 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Bataeh a 9% chance, the draw 18% and Al Ain 73%, so Al Ain are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.6 for Al Bataeh and 2.2 for Al Ain (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 42% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Bataeh are averaging 0.82 points per game versus 2.64 for Al Ain. This match finished 0-2.

Al Bataeh vs Al Ain Prediction— United-Arab-Emirates - Pro League

Match Preview & Prediction

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