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Al Bataeh vs Al Sharjah Prediction— United-Arab-Emirates - Pro League

Matchday 25 ·Sunday, May 10, 2026, 15:25

Al Bataeh

PPG 0.75 · HOME

LAST 5

DLLDD

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Al Sharjah

PPG 1.08 · AWAY

LAST 5

DLLDW

// Model verdict

BTTS 60% chance

Model probability 55.5% vs bookmaker-implied 62.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.2%0-18.8%0-26.3%0-33.0%0-4+1.5%1 1-08.4%1-112.0%1-28.5%1-34.1%1-4+2.0%2 2-05.7%2-18.1%2-25.8%2-32.8%2-4+1.3%3 3-02.6%3-13.7%3-22.6%3-31.2%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-11.7%4+-21.2%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 37.2% 37.9% 2.64 -1.8%

Draw 26.3% 29.0% 3.45 -5.6%

Away win 36.4% 42.0% 2.38 -13.4%

Over 2.5 53.1% 56.5% 1.77 -6.0%

Over 3.5 30.4% 33.9% 2.95 -10.3%

BTTS 55.5% 62.5% 1.60 -11.2%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 33 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 64%

O2.5 52%

BTTS 42%

Score Hit 61%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 30%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob55.5%

H 37% / xG 1.4-1.4 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.0%

#2 1–2 8.5%

#3 2–1 8.1%

#4 0–0✓ 6.2%

#5 0–1 8.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Al Bataeh1.4

Al Sharjah1.4

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.1% · O3.5 PROB 30.4%

Form & verdict PPG

AL BATAEH · PPG 0.75

AL SHARJAH · PPG 1.08

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

60%

DANGER

Home weakness: POOR (0.75) vs Away AVERAGE (1.08)

Win probability 1X2

Al Bataeh (H) 37.2%

ODDS 2.64 · IMPLIED 37.9% EV -1.8%

Draw 26.3%

ODDS 3.45 · IMPLIED 29.0% EV -5.6%

Al Sharjah (A) 36.4%

ODDS 2.38 · IMPLIED 42.0% EV -13.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Bataeh face Al Sharjah in United-Arab-Emirates - Pro League on Sunday, May 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Bataeh a 37% chance, the draw 26% and Al Sharjah 36%, so Al Bataeh are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Al Bataeh and 1.4 for Al Sharjah (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Bataeh are averaging 0.75 points per game versus 1.08 for Al Sharjah. This match finished 0-0.

Al Bataeh vs Al Sharjah Prediction— United-Arab-Emirates - Pro League

Match Preview & Prediction

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