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D. Al Fujairah vs Ajman Prediction— United-Arab-Emirates - Pro League

Matchday 25 ·Sunday, May 10, 2026, 15:25

D. Al Fujairah

PPG 1.17 · HOME

LAST 5

LLWLL

0 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Ajman

PPG 1.33 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWDWD

// Model verdict

BTTS 59% chance

Model probability 52.3% vs bookmaker-implied 62.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.8%0-111.6%0-27.7%0-33.4%0-4+1.5%1 1-09.7%1-112.9%1-28.5%1-33.8%1-4+1.7%2 2-05.4%2-17.1%2-24.7%2-32.1%2-4+0.9%3 3-02.0%3-12.6%3-21.8%3-30.8%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-10.9%4+-20.6%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.4% 39.7% 2.52 -10.8%

Draw 27.9% 28.2% 3.55 -0.6%

Away win 36.7% 41.3% 2.42 -11.2%

Over 2.5 46.5% 57.1% 1.75 -18.6%

Over 3.5 22.9% 33.9% 2.95 -19.5%

BTTS 52.3% 62.5% 1.60 -16.3%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 33 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 64%

O2.5 52%

BTTS 42%

Score Hit 61%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 17%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-2

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob52.3%

A 37% / xG 1.1-1.3 / O2.5 46% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.9%

#2 0–0 8.8%

#3 0–1 11.6%

#4 1–2 8.5%

#5 1–0 9.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

D. Al Fujairah1.1

Ajman1.3

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.5% · O3.5 PROB 22.9%

Form & verdict PPG

D. AL FUJAIRAH · PPG 1.17

AJMAN · PPG 1.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

59%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.17), Away AVERAGE (1.33)

Win probability 1X2

D. Al Fujairah (H) 35.4%

ODDS 2.52 · IMPLIED 39.7% EV -10.8%

Draw 27.9%

ODDS 3.55 · IMPLIED 28.2% EV -0.6%

Ajman (A) 36.7%

ODDS 2.42 · IMPLIED 41.3% EV -11.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

D. Al Fujairah face Ajman in United-Arab-Emirates - Pro League on Sunday, May 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives D. Al Fujairah a 35% chance, the draw 28% and Ajman 37%, so Ajman are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for D. Al Fujairah and 1.3 for Ajman (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, D. Al Fujairah are averaging 1.17 points per game versus 1.33 for Ajman. This match finished 0-2.

D. Al Fujairah vs Ajman Prediction— United-Arab-Emirates - Pro League

Match Preview & Prediction

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