Akhmat Grozny vs Baltika Prediction— Russia - Premier League

Russia - Premier League Regular Season - 26 Akhmat-Arena· Groznyj Thursday, April 23, 2026 16:45

Akhmat Grozny PPG 1.83

1-1 HIT CS3

Baltika PPG 1.46

Away· +13.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Akhmat Grozny face Baltika in Russia - Premier League on Thursday, April 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Akhmat Grozny a 24% chance, the draw 30% and Baltika 46%, so Baltika are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Akhmat Grozny and 1.2 for Baltika (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 32% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 38% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Akhmat Grozny are averaging 1.83 points per game versus 1.46 for Baltika. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +13.0%. This match finished 1-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 23.6%

Odds: 3.25 EV: -23.3%

Draw 30.1%

Odds: 3.16 EV: -4.9%

Away 46.3%

Odds: 2.44 EV: +13.0%

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 31.6% Odds: 2.32 -26.7%

Over 3.5 13.8% Odds: 4.20 -42.0%

BTTS 37.6% Odds: 1.92 -27.8%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 1-1 ✔

4th 1-0 ✘

5th 0-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Akhmat Grozny

0.77

Baltika

1.20

Model SuggestionNo Bet  ROI TRACKS: Away
Tracked ROI market: Away. 

League Track Record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5/Under 54%

BTTS/No 54%

Score Hit 67%

ROI -39.8%

Bet Hit 32% (19 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.83) > Away AVERAGE (1.46)