Nizhny Novgorod vs CSKA Moscow Prediction & Tips

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Russia - Premier League Regular Season - 29 Sovcombank Arena· Nizhny Novgorod Monday, May 11, 2026 12:15

Nizhny Novgorod PPG 1.07

1-2 HIT CS5

CSKA Moscow PPG 1.14

Draw· +2.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 29.3%

Odds: 3.36 EV: -0.9%

Draw 29.2%

Odds: 3.54 EV: +2.0%

Away 41.5%

Odds: 2.20 EV: -8.7%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 45.9% Odds: 1.93 -11.4%

Over 3.5 19.4% Odds: 3.16 -23.2%

BTTS 50.1% Odds: 1.71 -14.3%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 0-1 ✘

4th 0-2 ✘

5th 1-2 ✔

Expected Goals (xG)

Nizhny Novgorod

0.90

CSKA Moscow

1.36

Model SuggestionBTTS -14.3% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -14.3% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Draw (+2.0%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.07), Away AVERAGE (1.14)