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Russia - Premier League Sunday, May 17, 2026 15:00 
FC Krasnodar PPG 2.43 
Orenburg PPG 0.64
Russia - Premier League Sunday, May 17, 2026 15:00 FC Krasnodar PPG 2.433-0 HIT CS3
Orenburg PPG 0.64Away· +25.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 56.2% Odds: 1.65 -7.3%
Over 3.5 32.2% Odds: 2.50 -19.5%
BTTS 49.2% Odds: 1.94 -4.5%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 2-0 ✘
2nd 1-0 ✘
3rd 3-0 ✔
4th 1-1 ✘
5th 2-1 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Krasnodar 2.19
Orenburg 0.67
Model Suggestion
Home -16.0% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -16.0% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+25.0%) — probability too low to qualify.
Highest raw EV: Away (+25.0%) — probability too low to qualify.
League Track Record ↗
Based on 48 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 46%
O2.5/Under 54%
BTTS/No 54%
Score Hit 67%
ROI -39.8%
Bet Hit 32% (19 bets)
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 55%
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.43) vs P(Home)=62.7%