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Russia - Premier League logo Russia flag Russia - Premier League Regular Season - 30 Ak Bars Arena· Kazan Sunday, May 17, 2026 15:00
Rubin Kazan logo Rubin Kazan PPG 1.86
2-2 MISS
Nizhny Novgorod logo Nizhny Novgorod PPG 0.50
Home· +14.3% 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
95% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 51.5%
Odds: 2.22 EV: +14.3%
Draw 27.0%
Odds: 3.56 EV: -2.3%
Away 21.4%
Odds: 3.30 EV: -17.6%
Model lean: Home
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 36.4% Odds: 2.09 -23.9%
Over 3.5 13.9% Odds: 3.65 -29.6%
BTTS 46.2% Odds: 1.82 -15.9%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0
2nd 0-0
3rd 1-1
4th 2-0
5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Rubin Kazan
1.38
Nizhny Novgorod
0.60

Model Suggestion

Home +14.3% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.

League Track Record

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%
O2.5/Under 54%
BTTS/No 54%
Score Hit 67%
ROI -39.8%
Bet Hit 32% (19 bets)

Verdict & Form

🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
95%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.86) vs P(Home)=51.5%

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