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Russia - Premier League
Regular Season - 30
Ak Bars Arena· Kazan
Sunday, May 17, 2026
15:00
Rubin Kazan
PPG 1.86
2-2
MISS
Nizhny Novgorod
PPG 0.50
Home· +14.3%
🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
95% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
51.5%
Odds: 2.22
EV: +14.3%
Draw
27.0%
Odds: 3.56
EV: -2.3%
Away
21.4%
Odds: 3.30
EV: -17.6%
Model lean:
Home
Result: Draw ✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
36.4%
Odds: 2.09
-23.9%
Over 3.5
13.9%
Odds: 3.65
-29.6%
BTTS
46.2%
Odds: 1.82
-15.9%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘
BTTS NO → YES ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-0
✘
2nd
0-0
✘
3rd
1-1
✘
4th
2-0
✘
5th
2-1
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Rubin Kazan
1.38
Nizhny Novgorod
0.60
Model Suggestion
Home
+14.3%
ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market:
Home.
League Track Record
↗
Based on 48 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc
46%
O2.5/Under
54%
BTTS/No
54%
Score Hit
67%
ROI
-39.8%
Bet Hit
32%
(19 bets)
Verdict & Form
🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
95%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME
Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.86) vs P(Home)=51.5%