CSKA Moscow vs Lokomotiv M. Prediction & Tips

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Russia - Premier League Regular Season - 30 VEB Arena· Moscow Sunday, May 17, 2026 15:00

CSKA Moscow PPG 2.07

3-1 MISS

Lokomotiv M. PPG 1.57

Home· +10.0% ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 44.0%

Odds: 2.50 EV: +10.0%

Draw 25.5%

Odds: 3.70 EV: -3.4%

Away 30.6%

Odds: 2.75 EV: -15.8%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 52.8% Odds: 1.85 -2.3%

Over 3.5 31.7% Odds: 3.00 -4.9%

BTTS 59.7% Odds: 1.64 -2.1%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 1-2 ✘

4th 0-0 ✘

5th 1-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

CSKA Moscow

1.52

Lokomotiv M.

1.32

Model SuggestionBTTS -2.1% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -2.1% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Home (+10.0%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.07) > Away GOOD (1.57)