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Russia - Premier League Sunday, May 17, 2026 15:00 
PFC Sochi PPG 0.79 
Akhmat Grozny PPG 0.64
Russia - Premier League Sunday, May 17, 2026 15:00 PFC Sochi PPG 0.791-1 HIT MostLikelyScore
Akhmat Grozny PPG 0.64Away· +10.8% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
42% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw
✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 52.6% Odds: 1.90 -0.1%
Over 3.5 26.8% Odds: 3.10 -10.2%
BTTS 52.6% Odds: 1.67 -12.2%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✔
2nd 0-0 ✘
3rd 1-2 ✘
4th 0-1 ✘
5th 0-2 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
PFC Sochi 1.14
Akhmat Grozny 1.48
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 -0.1% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -0.1% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+10.8%) — probability too low to qualify.
Highest raw EV: Away (+10.8%) — probability too low to qualify.
League Track Record ↗
Based on 48 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 46%
O2.5/Under 54%
BTTS/No 54%
Score Hit 67%
ROI -39.8%
Bet Hit 32% (19 bets)
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
BALANCED 42%
Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.79), Away POOR (0.64)