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Russia - Premier League
Regular Season - 30
Rostov Arena· Rostov
Sunday, May 17, 2026
15:00
Rostov
PPG 1.00
0-1
HIT MostLikelyScore
Zenit
PPG 1.71
Draw· +80.4%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum
63% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
16.1%
Odds: 8.70
EV: +24.0%
Draw
33.1%
Odds: 5.45
EV: +80.4%
Away
50.8%
Odds: 1.36
EV: -30.9%
Model lean:
Away
Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
35.0%
Odds: 1.93
-32.5%
Over 3.5
12.2%
Odds: 3.28
-36.0%
BTTS
46.2%
Odds: 2.21
+2.1%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔
BTTS NO → NO ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st
0-1
✔
2nd
0-0
✘
3rd
1-1
✘
4th
0-2
✘
5th
1-2
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Rostov
0.61
Zenit
1.27
Model Suggestion
Away
-30.9%
NO VALUE BET
No value bet:
model leans Away, but EV is -30.9% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV:
Draw (+80.4%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum
63%
UPSET_VALUE
Away momentum: GOOD form (1.71) vs Home AVERAGE (1.00)