Randers FC vs Fredericia Prediction— Denmark - Superliga

Denmark - Superliga Relegation Group - 28 Cepheus Park· Randers Thursday, April 23, 2026 16:00

Randers FC PPG 1.08

2-2 MISS

Fredericia PPG 1.21

Away· +34.4% ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Randers FC face Fredericia in Denmark - Superliga on Thursday, April 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Randers FC a 43% chance, the draw 25% and Fredericia 32%, so Randers FC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Randers FC and 1.3 for Fredericia (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Randers FC are averaging 1.08 points per game versus 1.21 for Fredericia. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +34.4%. This match finished 2-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 43.4%

Odds: 1.75 EV: -24.1%

Draw 24.5%

Odds: 3.85 EV: -5.7%

Away 32.0%

Odds: 4.20 EV: +34.4%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 55.5% Odds: 1.57 -12.9%

Over 3.5 33.1% Odds: 2.40 -20.6%

BTTS 58.3% Odds: 1.50 -12.6%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 1-2 ✘

5th 0-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Randers FC

1.58

Fredericia

1.32

Model SuggestionBTTS -12.6% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -12.6% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+34.4%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 36 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5/Under 64%

BTTS/No 58%

Score Hit 36%

ROI -2.1%

Bet Hit 60% (15 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.08), Away AVERAGE (1.21)