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Russia - Premier League
Regular Season - 26
Samara Arena· Samara
Thursday, April 23, 2026
14:30
Akron
PPG 0.75
1-1
HIT CS3
Makhachkala
PPG 0.33
Home· +57.1%
✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
75% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
62.6%
Odds: 2.51
EV: +57.1%
Draw
23.6%
Odds: 3.15
EV: -25.7%
Away
13.8%
Odds: 3.14
EV: -56.7%
Model lean:
Home
Result: Draw ✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
40.9%
Odds: 2.32
-5.1%
Over 3.5
20.5%
Odds: 4.10
-16.0%
BTTS
38.4%
Odds: 1.90
-27.0%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔
BTTS NO → YES ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-0
✘
2nd
2-0
✘
3rd
1-1
✔
4th
0-0
✘
5th
2-1
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Akron
1.68
Makhachkala
0.64
Model Suggestion
Home
+57.1%
ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market:
Home.
Verdict & Form
✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
75%
MODERATE_HOME
Home slight advantage: POOR (0.75) > Away POOR (0.33)