Ittihad Kalba vs Bani Yas Prediction— United-Arab-Emirates - Pro League

United-Arab-Emirates - Pro League Regular Season - 23 Ittihad Kalba Club Stadium· Kalba Thursday, April 23, 2026 14:00

Ittihad Kalba PPG 0.82

1-2 HIT CS5

Bani Yas PPG 1.18

Home· +9.9% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team

45% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Ittihad Kalba face Bani Yas in United-Arab-Emirates - Pro League on Thursday, April 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ittihad Kalba a 40% chance, the draw 26% and Bani Yas 33%, so Ittihad Kalba are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Ittihad Kalba and 1.2 for Bani Yas (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ittihad Kalba are averaging 0.82 points per game versus 1.18 for Bani Yas. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +9.9%. This match finished 1-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 40.4%

Odds: 2.72 EV: +9.9%

Draw 26.3%

Odds: 3.30 EV: -13.2%

Away 33.3%

Odds: 2.38 EV: -20.8%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 48.4% Odds: 1.83 -11.4%

Over 3.5 26.6% Odds: 3.10 -17.5%

BTTS 52.9% Odds: 1.65 -12.7%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-0 ✘

3rd 0-1 ✘

4th 2-1 ✘

5th 1-2 ✔

Expected Goals (xG)

Ittihad Kalba

1.38

Bani Yas

1.23

Model SuggestionBTTS -12.7% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -12.7% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Home (+9.9%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 21 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5/Under 57%

BTTS/No 52%

Score Hit 52%

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: POOR (0.82) vs Away AVERAGE (1.18)