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Al Sharjah vs Al Wahda Prediction— United-Arab-Emirates - Pro League

Regular Season - 23 ·Thursday, April 23, 2026, 14:00

Al Sharjah

PPG 1.20 · HOME

0 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Al Wahda

PPG 1.40 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 54.4% vs bookmaker-implied 59.9%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.9%0-110.4%0-29.2%0-35.4%0-4+3.6%1 1-06.3%1-111.1%1-29.8%1-35.8%1-4+3.8%2 2-03.3%2-15.9%2-25.2%2-33.1%2-4+2.0%3 3-01.2%3-12.1%3-21.9%3-31.1%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.7%4+-20.6%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 22.8% 32.3% 3.10 -29.3%

Draw 23.4% 29.4% 3.40 -20.4%

Away win 53.8% 47.2% 2.12 +14.1%

Over 2.5 53.9% 54.1% 1.85 -0.3%

Over 3.5 31.6% 32.3% 3.10 -2.0%

BTTS 54.4% 59.9% 1.67 -9.2%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 21 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 52%

ROI -7.3%

Bet Hit 60%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 41%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-2

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob54.4%

A 54% / xG 1.1-1.8 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 54%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.1%

#2 0–1 10.4%

#3 1–2 9.8%

#4 0–2✓ 9.2%

#5 1–0 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Al Sharjah1.1

Al Wahda1.8

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.9% · O3.5 PROB 31.6%

Form & verdict PPG

AL SHARJAH · PPG 1.20

AL WAHDA · PPG 1.40

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.20), Away AVERAGE (1.40)

Win probability 1X2

Al Sharjah (H) 22.8%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -29.3%

Draw 23.4%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -20.4%

Al Wahda (A) 53.8%

ODDS 2.12 · IMPLIED 47.2% EV +14.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Sharjah face Al Wahda in United-Arab-Emirates - Pro League on Thursday, April 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Sharjah a 23% chance, the draw 23% and Al Wahda 54%, so Al Wahda are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Al Sharjah and 1.8 for Al Wahda (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Sharjah are averaging 1.20 points per game versus 1.40 for Al Wahda. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +14.1%. This match finished 0-2.

Al Sharjah vs Al Wahda Prediction— United-Arab-Emirates - Pro League

Match Preview & Prediction

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