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Azerbaijan - Birinci Dasta Thursday, April 23, 2026 12:00 
Difai Agsu PPG 0.73 
Sebail PPG 1.60
Azerbaijan - Birinci Dasta Thursday, April 23, 2026 12:00 Difai Agsu PPG 0.730-4 MISS
Sebail PPG 1.60Over2.5· -0.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Away Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 60.3% Odds: 1.65 -0.5%
Over 3.5 38.0% Odds: — —
BTTS 49.5% Odds: — —
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 0-2 ✘
2nd 0-1 ✘
3rd 1-2 ✘
4th 0-3 ✘
5th 1-1 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Difai Agsu 0.80
Sebail 2.33
Model Suggestion
Away -4.6% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Away, but EV is -4.6% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
UPSET_VALUE 63%
Away momentum: GOOD form (1.60) vs Home POOR (0.73)