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USA - Major League Soccer logo USA flag USA - Major League Soccer Regular Season - 9 PayPal Park· San Jose Thursday, April 23, 2026 02:30
SJ Earthquakes logo SJ Earthquakes PPG 2.25
5-1 MISS
Austin logo Austin PPG 0.50
Home· +34.6% 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
98% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 92.2%
Odds: 1.46 EV: +34.6%
Draw 6.2%
Odds: 4.40 EV: -72.7%
Away 1.6%
Odds: 6.40 EV: -89.8%
Model lean: Home
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 71.6% Odds: 1.55 +11.0%
Over 3.5 50.8% Odds: 2.35 +19.4%
BTTS 27.9% Odds: 1.65 -54.0%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 3-0
2nd 2-0
3rd 4-0
4th 5-0
5th 1-0

Expected Goals (xG)

SJ Earthquakes
3.37
Austin
0.34

Model Suggestion

Home +34.6% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.

Verdict & Form

🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
98%
STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.25), Away POOR (0.50) - Strong consensus

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