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USA - Major League Soccer logo USA flag USA - Major League Soccer Regular Season - 15 Saputo Stadium· Montréal Saturday, May 16, 2026 20:30
CF Montreal logo CF Montreal PPG 2.00
0-2 MISS
Chicago Fire logo Chicago Fire PPG 1.60
Over3.5· +19.1% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 32.3%
Odds: 2.80 EV: -9.6%
Draw 24.0%
Odds: 3.55 EV: -8.9%
Away 43.7%
Odds: 2.32 EV: +1.4%
Model lean: Over 2.5
Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 63.9% Odds: 1.62 +3.5%
Over 3.5 46.7% Odds: 2.55 +19.1%
BTTS 62.3% Odds: 1.53 -4.7%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-2
3rd 2-1
4th 2-2
5th 1-3

Expected Goals (xG)

CF Montreal
1.53
Chicago Fire
1.98

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 +3.5% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5.
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+19.1%)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.00) > Away GOOD (1.60)

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