Predict
Vantage
Today
Top Picks
Accuracy
Leagues
← Back to picks
USA - Major League Soccer
Regular Season - 15
Saputo Stadium· Montréal
Saturday, May 16, 2026
20:30
CF Montreal
PPG 2.00
0-2
MISS
Chicago Fire
PPG 1.60
Over3.5· +19.1%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
32.3%
Odds: 2.80
EV: -9.6%
Draw
24.0%
Odds: 3.55
EV: -8.9%
Away
43.7%
Odds: 2.32
EV: +1.4%
Model lean:
Over 2.5
Result: Away ✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
63.9%
Odds: 1.62
+3.5%
Over 3.5
46.7%
Odds: 2.55
+19.1%
BTTS
62.3%
Odds: 1.53
-4.7%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘
BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-1
✘
2nd
1-2
✘
3rd
2-1
✘
4th
2-2
✘
5th
1-3
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
CF Montreal
1.53
Chicago Fire
1.98
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5
+3.5%
ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market:
Over 2.5.
Raw EV leader:
Over3.5(+19.1%)
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME
Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.00) > Away GOOD (1.60)