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USA - Major League Soccer logo USA flag USA - Major League Soccer Regular Season - 16 Nu Stadium· Miami Sunday, May 24, 2026 23:00
Inter Miami logo Inter Miami PPG 1.20
6-4 MISS
Philadelphia logo Philadelphia PPG 0.50
Away· +7.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 59.0%
Odds: 1.45 EV: -14.4%
Draw 20.7%
Odds: 5.10 EV: +3.3%
Away 20.3%
Odds: 5.50 EV: +7.0%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 63.9% Odds: 1.30 -16.9%
Over 3.5 58.2% Odds: 1.83 +6.5%
BTTS 62.5% Odds: 1.44 -10.0%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-1
2nd 3-1
3rd 1-1
4th 2-0
5th 3-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Inter Miami
2.77
Philadelphia
1.32

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -16.9% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-16.9%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.20) > Away POOR (0.50)

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