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USA - Major League Soccer logo USA flag USA - Major League Soccer Regular Season - 16 TQL Stadium· Cincinnati Saturday, May 23, 2026 23:30
Cincinnati logo Cincinnati PPG 1.67
6-2 MISS
Orlando City logo Orlando City PPG 0.57
Over3.5· +35.1% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 59.5%
Odds: 1.58 EV: -6.0%
Draw 20.0%
Odds: 4.65 EV: -4.2%
Away 20.5%
Odds: 4.55 EV: -4.0%
Model lean: Over 3.5
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 79.0% Odds: 1.25 -1.3%
Over 3.5 81.9% Odds: 1.65 +35.1%
BTTS 66.7% Odds: 1.30 -13.3%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 3-1
2nd 4-1
3rd 3-2
4th 4-2
5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Cincinnati
3.80
Orlando City
1.89

Model Suggestion

Over 3.5 +35.1% ROI TRACKS: Over 3.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 3.5.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.67) vs P(Home)=59.5%

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