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USA - Major League Soccer
Regular Season - 16
TQL Stadium· Cincinnati
Saturday, May 23, 2026
23:30
Cincinnati
PPG 1.67
6-2
MISS
Orlando City
PPG 0.57
Over3.5· +35.1%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
59.5%
Odds: 1.58
EV: -6.0%
Draw
20.0%
Odds: 4.65
EV: -4.2%
Away
20.5%
Odds: 4.55
EV: -4.0%
Model lean:
Over 3.5
Result: Home ✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
79.0%
Odds: 1.25
-1.3%
Over 3.5
81.9%
Odds: 1.65
+35.1%
BTTS
66.7%
Odds: 1.30
-13.3%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔
BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st
3-1
✘
2nd
4-1
✘
3rd
3-2
✘
4th
4-2
✘
5th
2-1
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Cincinnati
3.80
Orlando City
1.89
Model Suggestion
Over 3.5
+35.1%
ROI TRACKS: Over 3.5
Tracked ROI market:
Over 3.5.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME
Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.67) vs P(Home)=59.5%