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USA - Major League Soccer logo USA flag USA - Major League Soccer Regular Season - 16 Audi Field· Washington Saturday, May 23, 2026 23:30
DC United logo DC United PPG 1.17
4-4 MISS
CF Montreal logo CF Montreal PPG 0.43
Over3.5· +23.6% ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 51.0%
Odds: 1.90 EV: -3.1%
Draw 23.9%
Odds: 3.65 EV: -7.7%
Away 25.1%
Odds: 3.70 EV: -4.3%
Model lean: Over 2.5
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 61.4% Odds: 1.80 +10.5%
Over 3.5 41.2% Odds: 3.00 +23.6%
BTTS 59.7% Odds: 1.67 -0.3%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 2-0
4th 1-2
5th 2-2

Expected Goals (xG)

DC United
1.90
CF Montreal
1.37

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 +10.5% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5.
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+23.6%)

League Track Record

Based on 76 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%
O2.5/Under 61%
BTTS/No 68%
Score Hit 41%
ROI -11.7%
Bet Hit 50% (48 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.17) > Away POOR (0.43)

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