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USA - Major League Soccer logo USA flag USA - Major League Soccer Regular Season - 16 Allianz Field· Saint Paul Saturday, May 23, 2026 20:30
Minnesota Utd logo Minnesota Utd PPG 1.33
1-1 HIT MostLikelyScore
Real Salt Lake logo Real Salt Lake PPG 0.80
Away· +11.9% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 36.3%
Odds: 2.12 EV: -23.0%
Draw 26.4%
Odds: 3.75 EV: -0.6%
Away 37.3%
Odds: 3.00 EV: +11.9%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 52.6% Odds: 1.62 -14.8%
Over 3.5 29.5% Odds: 2.55 -14.9%
BTTS 54.6% Odds: 1.53 -16.5%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-2
3rd 0-0
4th 2-1
5th 0-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Minnesota Utd
1.30
Real Salt Lake
1.44

Model Suggestion

BTTS -16.5% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -16.5% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+11.9%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.33) > Away POOR (0.80)

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