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USA - Major League Soccer logo USA flag USA - Major League Soccer Regular Season - 16 Lower.com Field· Columbus Sunday, May 24, 2026 21:00
Columbus Crew logo Columbus Crew PPG 1.33
2-0 HIT CS5
Atlanta Utd logo Atlanta Utd PPG 0.80
Away· +26.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 49.1%
Odds: 1.51 EV: -25.9%
Draw 26.1%
Odds: 4.30 EV: +7.3%
Away 24.8%
Odds: 5.80 EV: +26.3%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 51.8% Odds: 1.57 -18.7%
Over 3.5 26.1% Odds: 2.40 -22.4%
BTTS 52.4% Odds: 1.62 -15.1%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-0
3rd 2-1
4th 0-0
5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Columbus Crew
1.54
Atlanta Utd
1.04

Model Suggestion

BTTS -15.1% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -15.1% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+26.3%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.33) > Away POOR (0.80)

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